2020/10/31  
英文 English 
China beefs up its southeast coastal defenses with its most advanced hypersonic missile: HK media (2020/10/18)

As Chinese warplanes continue with incursions into Taiwan's airspace, China is also beefing up its coastal forces in preparation for a possible assault on Taiwan. According to the South China Morning Post, missile bases along China's southeast coast have been upgraded and equipped with the Dong-Feng 17, China's most advanced hypersonic missile. Analysts say Taiwan's existing air defense systems may not be up to snuff to intercept such a weapon.

Incursions from Chinese military jets seem to be nonstop these days. On Saturday, the Ministry of National Defense confirmed that another Y-8 aircraft had entered Taiwan's southwestern airspace. In addition to increasing broadcasts urging the plane to leave, air defense missile systems were also deployed to monitor the activity. It was the 12th time this month for Chinese military jets to fly close to Taiwan and test its readiness.

Erich Shih
Defense analyst
The Chinese military plane was located over Taiwan's waters, which are in the southwest corner of Taiwan's Air Defense Identification Zone. Such intensive activities are indeed, psychologically speaking, cutting off Taiwan's psychological connection with the Dongsha Islands. In the future, it indeed may possibly be moving in the direction of demarcating an Air Defense Identification Zone over the South China Sea.

However, if you want to rule the South China Sea by demarcating an area and counter support from other countries, you can't just rely on military jets flying into the area every now and then; you need other things.

Hong Kong's South China Morning Post has reported that Chinese missile bases on China's southeast coast have been upgraded and Dong-Feng 17 hypersonic missiles that have a relatively longer range and greater accuracy have been deployed, replacing Dong-Feng 11 and Dong-Feng 15 missiles.

Erich Shih
Defense analyst
For them, they will do everything possible to contain what they believe to be Taiwan independence actions.

On Friday, Robert O'Brien, a national security adviser to U.S President Donald Trump, lambasted China during a talk at a think tank forum.

Robert O'Brien
White House national security adviser
I don't think the Chinese probably at this point want or are likely prepared for an amphibious landing. I mean they've got a massive number of missiles pointed at Taiwan so they would probably annihilate Taiwan in a strike. I don't know what they would gain from that. I think they'd lose everything they wanted to gain after that. They would certainly become pariahs internationally.

Wang Ting-yu
DPP legislator
You can't take over Taiwan by relying on missiles alone. If it really wants to wipe out the nation or occupy it, it needs solid airborne or amphibious landing combat strength. China's deployment of missiles along the southeast coast on one hand reveals its striking range over and around Taiwan. On the other hand, this sword is not only pointed at Taiwan, but it's also pointed at countries such as the U.S. and Japan.

Legislators from the Legislative Yuan's National Defense Committee warned that China may be making advance deployments to prevent foreign intervention in a possible war. With China becoming more threatening, Taiwan can't afford not to be on the alert.
中文 Chinese  
劍指台灣? 南華早報:中部署東風-17導彈在東南沿岸

國防部證實,中國軍機,持續騷擾我國西南空域,直到目前,10月已經前來試探底線,多達12次。就在這時,香港媒體-南華早報也指稱,中國已經在東南沿海,部署最新型的東風17導彈。外界推測,我國現有的防空武器,恐怕難以攔截防範。

中國軍機,繞台不停歇,17號國防部再度證實,一架運8反潛機,現蹤西南空域。我國空軍除了升空廣播驅離,防空飛彈部隊也戒備追監,這是10月以來,第12次試探台灣底線。

[[軍事評論員 施孝瑋]]
"中國的軍機,在台灣灘附近,也就是台灣防空識別區的西南角,這樣一個密集活動,的確在心理上來講,是切斷了,台灣跟東沙之間的心理聯繫,未來的確是有可能會朝向,劃設南海防空識別區的方向在走。"

然而想在南海劃地為王,反制他國馳援,不可能只靠軍機,在空中兜圈子......

港媒《南華早報》指出,中國東南沿海的飛彈基地,已經升級,更部署了射程更遠、更精準的「東風-17」高超音速飛彈,取代東風-11和東風-15飛彈。

[[軍事評論員 施孝瑋]]
"對他們來說,他們對於他們認定的台獨作為,會盡一切可能性,進行遏止。"

而在16日,美國一場智庫論壇中,美國國安顧問歐布萊恩則是話鋒犀利,再轟中國。

[[白宮國家安全顧問 歐布萊恩]]
"我不認為現階段,中國準備在台灣進行兩棲登陸,我的意思是說,他們有大量針對台灣的導彈,因此它們可能會殲滅台灣,我不知道他們會從中得到什麼,可能會喪失一切。"

[[立委(民) 王定宇]]
"要打下台灣不能只靠導彈,真的要滅國、佔領的話,還是要有紮紮實實的空降,或者是兩棲登陸的作戰實力。(中國)把部署到東南方的話,依方面,暴露在台灣打擊範圍內,二方面,劍指就不(只)是台灣,可能是美國、日本這些國家。"

國防立委預警,中國也可能是為反介入作戰、提前布局,當對岸蠢蠢欲動,我國不可不慎。
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