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Politicians, analysts comment on Soong’s election impact (2011/11/01)
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  • 英文 English 
    Politicians, analysts comment on Soong’s election impact (2011/11/01)

    James Soong is the most influential of the third-party candidates for January’s election, but it’s unclear which major party he’ll siphon more votes from. We asked some politicians and commentators what they think.

    The 2012 poll has moved one step closer to becoming a three-horse race.

    Tsai Ing-wen
    DPP Presidential Candidate
    We feel that Chairman Soong is a respectable opponent. He is also a strong, competitive opponent.

    Tsai Huang-liang
    DPP Legislator
    It’s not the case that the DPP will benefit from the pan-blue vote being split by James Soong. The reality is that the anti-Ma Ying-jeou vote will be split. This won’t help Tsai Ing-wen get elected at all.

    Wang Jin-pyng
    Legislative Speaker
    It’s hard to say without doing a statistical analysis. Generally speaking of course it will have some effect.

    Shen Fu-hsiung (Oct. 31)
    Political Commentator
    When the votes are counted on Jan. 14, I predict that Chairman Soong won’t have more than 380,000 votes.

    Li Chien-nan (Oct. 31)
    Political Commentator
    If Soong joins the poll and doesn’t get at least 1 ? million votes, it means that I’m not qualified as an analyst. I will lock myself up and study for three years without going on any programs during that time.

    Whether Soong gets 380,000 votes, 1 ? million, or some other number, Ma Ying-jeou and Tsai Ing-wen won’t take his impact on the election lightly.






    中文 Chinese  
    藍綠宋連署

    宋楚瑜連署書跨過門檻,參選態勢明朗,民進黨總統參選人蔡英文認為,宋楚瑜是可敬的對手,不過,名嘴有不同看法,沈富雄大膽預估宋楚瑜只有38萬票的實力,不過,親宋的黎建南,拿自己的飯碗當賭注,打賭宋楚瑜如果拿不到150萬,他就三年不上節目。

    2012這一仗,將從雙英對決,演變成馬蔡宋三強的戰場。

    [[民進黨總統參選人 蔡英文]]
    “我們認為是說,宋主席應該是一個可敬的對手,而且是一個滿競爭力滿強的對手”

    [[民進黨團幹事長 蔡煌瑯]]
    “不要存在有宋楚瑜參選,泛藍分裂,民進黨漁翁得利,這種不切實際的幻想,事實上是反馬英九的選票分裂了,這個對蔡英文的當選,一點幫助都沒有”

    [[立法院長 王金平]]
    “沒有去精算很難看出來,基本上當然會有影響”

    [[名嘴 沈富雄(10.31)]]
    “我預估宋主席最後,1月14日那天票開出來,我認為不會超過38萬票”

    [[名嘴 黎建南(10.31)]]
    “如果宋參選,沒有150萬票,那就表示我這個社會觀察家不夠格,我閉門讀書三年,三年不上任何節目”

    不論是看扁宋楚瑜只有38萬票,還是誇口宋楚瑜能有150萬票,宋楚瑜分走的選票,雙英陣營都不敢輕忽。
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