2022/1/23  
英文 English 
Experts suggest inexperience of North Korean successor may lead to instability (2011/12/20)

While North Koreans are still mourning the death of their Dear Leader, Kim Jong-il, many are nervously awaiting the first moves of his successor, Kim Jong-un. At the age of 29, Kim Jong-un has no political experience and many political experts are warning of potential instability for the country.

After North Korean leader, Kim Jong-il passed away, the youngest of his three sons, Kim Jong-un has been forced to take over earlier than expected. However, according to international news reports, a number of questions remain about the ability of the 29-year-old to lead.

Compared to his father, Kim Jong-un is very inexperienced in the field of politics.

Currently assisting Kim Jong-un, is Kim Jong-il's sister, Kim Kyong-hui and her husband, Jang Song-taek. At the age of 64, Kim Kyong-hui became North Korea’s first female four-star general, and at the age of 65, her husband was promoted to vice chairman of the National Defense Commission. Some speculate that this pair could play a role in any debates over Kim Jong-un’s succession.

Jon Huntsman
Former U.S. Ambassador to China
There is no sign whatsoever that he can be trusted. He’s young, he will have to win over the support of the military and he’s going to have to win over the party and in order to do that he will have to engage in crazy acts.

Even North Korea's closest ally, China, has some misgivings about the appointment of a successor in North Korea who has yet to reach the age of 30.

With a western-style education, Kim Jong-un had boasted that within three years he could give his citizens enough food to eat. However, the outside world is left wondering if this young leader has what it takes to make much-needed reforms in North Korea.
中文 Chinese  
後金時代啟

北韓領導人金正日過世,去年才剛公開露面的么子金正恩被迫提前接班,不過他今年才29歲,從政經驗是零。外界對他能否坐穩大位,仍有問號。金正日的妹妹與妹婿預料將輔佐金正恩接班,但黨內與軍隊是否會出現奪權戲碼,將替後金正日時代,增添變數。

北韓領導人金正日突然過世,三子金正恩,被迫提早接棒,後金時代開啟,但國際社會對於這位才29歲的年輕人,能否坐穩大位,卻充滿問號。


因為相較於父親的經歷,金正恩宛如一張白紙。

目前輔佐金正恩的,就是金正日的親妹妹金敬姬,還有妹婿張成澤。64歲的金敬姬是北韓第一位四星女將軍。65歲的張成澤,去年還晉升為掌握軍政大權的北韓國防委員會副委員長。姑姑、姑丈是否會趁機奪權,是北韓政局的一大變數。

[[前美國駐中大使 洪博培]]
“(金正恩)實在不太可靠, 他太年輕,必須得到軍方支持,還有黨的支持,這表示 他可能會有些瘋狂舉動”

即便是北韓最親近的盟友,中國對於這位不到30歲的接班人,也充滿疑慮。

由於受西式教育的金正恩曾誇口說三年內要讓北韓民眾都有飯吃、有肉湯喝,因此外界都寄望這位新領導人,可以帶領北韓進行開放改革。
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